Risk Odometer

2023 | September Risk Odometer
For the fifth month in a row, our Risk Odometer remains unchanged at +1 with a Current Outlook of “Cautiously Positive”. The indicators below the hood continue to paint the same picture, positive technical indicators and negative fundamental indicators.

2023 | August Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer remains unchanged at +1 in August, and we maintain our “Cautiously Positive” Outlook. We continue to witness negative fundamental indicators and positive technical indicators. Our positive technical...

2023 | July Risk Odometer
For the third month in a row, our Risk Odometer remains unchanged at +1 in July, and we maintain our “Cautiously Positive” Outlook. We continue to witness negative fundamental indicators and positive technical...

2023 | June Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer remains unchanged at +1 in June, and we maintain our “Cautiously Positive” Outlook. For the second month in over a year we do not have a defensive outlook as our timelier technical indicators remain...

2023 | May Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer moved up one point from 0 to 1 forcing us to move our Current Outlook to “Cautiously Positive”. This has been the first time in over a year that our Risk Odometer has registered a positive reading. We...

2023 | April Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer was unchanged in April, remaining at a net score of 0 and a Current Outlook of Use Caution. Surprisingly the banking turmoil caused by the Silicon Valley Bank failure in March did little to impact the Risk...

2023 | March Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer improved again in March from -1 to 0, thus upgrading our Current Outlook from “Defensive” to “Use Caution”. Although this is an upgrade in our net score and outlook, there are still many...

2023 | February Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer improved from -3 to -1 for February but our Outlook remains “Defensive”. This is the second time our Risk Odometer has improved from -3 to -1 with the last time being in December. In December,...

2023 | January Risk Odometer
Our Risk Odometer moved lower in January from -1 to -3. Our Outlook remains “Defensive”. Last month we had expressed hope that the stock market rally in October and November would signal better times ahead but...